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In the 1920's the Bolsheviks were struggling with the concept of economic planning. This material examines the details of the planning issues they faced and shows that the major problem is that fundamentally they did not have a criterion for establishing whether a proposed investment project was worthwhile or not. From this flaw followed their inability to choose among a variety of investment projects that collectively required more resources than they had available. Consequently the decisions of which projects to undertake and which not to was made on an irrational basis.
Some of the major investment projects under consideration at the time were:
The construction of a dam on the Dnieper River for the generation of
electrical power, the improvement of navigation upon the river and the improvement of
land in its vicinity. The hydroelectric installation, called Dnieproges, was
to have a generating capacity of 230 megawatts. It would provide power for existing factories
and new ones which would be built in the area. The annual power production was
projected to be 1.2 to 1.3 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity.
The cost of construction, as of the summer of 1926, was thought to be in the range of
120 to 200 million rubles. The low estimate of 120 million rubles was twice as large
as the cost of building a coal-fueled generating plant of the same capacity. Moreover, if
the electrical power was to be utilized there would have to be future investments for
factories in the area. The nature and extent of the investment costs for those factories
were not known with any degree of precision. The estimates ranged from 200 million to
1500 million rubles.
This railroad was to Link Kazakhstan, Central Asia (Turkestan) and Western
Siberia. It was intended to enable the development of areas of Kazakhstan and
Siberia. In particular it was intended to promote cotton growing in Central Asia which
would supply the
Soviet textile industry and reduce its dependence on imported cotton. The railroad would
supply the cotton-growing areas of Central Asia with grain, timber and cattle.
Some parts of this rail line had been constructed before World War I. A northern line
of 650 kilometers
connected Novosibirsk, which was on the Trans-Siberian rail line, to Semipalatinsk in the south.
In 1912 a private company, Semirechie, had been granted permission by the Czarist Russian
government to build a line in the south from Tashkent to Alma-Ata. Only the southern
part of the line
had been completed as far as Fruenze. There remained 1500 kilometers of line connecting
Fruenze over the mountains to Alma-Ata and then on to Semipalatinsk. The estimated cost
for the completion of the Turksib was 120 million rubles.
This canal would provide transportation between the Volga River
region of south Russia and the Don River region of the Ukraine. It would also provide
irrigation water for grain production in its vicinity. The estimated cost was 140 million
rubles.
The planning process had less to do with economic analysis and more to do with matters of the jurisdictions of the various governmental agencies and the personalities of the people in control of those agencies at the time. Planning was largely a matter of fantasizing and who could push through their fantasy. The agencies involved were:
Soviet Agencies Involved in Economic Development Decisions | ||
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Acronym | Name in Russian | Name in English |
VESENKHA | Vysshii Sovet Narodnogo Khozyaistva | Supreme Council of National Economy |
GOSPLAN | Gosudarstvennaya Planovaya Komissiya | State Planning Commission |
GOELRO | Gosudarstvennaya Komissiya po Elecktrifikatsii Rossii | State Commission for the Electrification of Russia |
STO | Sovet Truda i Oborony | Council of Labor and Defense |
SOVNARKOM | Sovet Narodnykh Komissarov | Council of the People's Commissars |
TsIK | Tsentral'nyi Ispolnitel'nyi Komitet | Central Executive Committee |
GLAVELECTRO | Glavnoe Upravlenie Elektricheskoi Promyshlennosti | Chief Administration of the Electrical Industry |
The Czarist government of the Russian Empire proposed in 1905 the building of a hydroelectric dam on the Dnieper River. Nothing was done on the project. When the Bolsheviks began to consider the project it was included within the jurisdiction of GOELRO, the program for the electrification of Russia. In 1921 GOSPLAN was formed and took over the projects of GOELRO. Thus responsibility for the design and execution of Dnieprostoi rested with GOSPLAN although it could just as well been administratively assigned to GLAVELECTRO which was a division of VESENKHA.
It is eerie reviewing the history of the time and noting the number of Bolsheviks who were powerful figures then but who in the 1930's when the system turned psychopathic were arrested and executed as enemies of the people. Enemies of the people really meant real or potential threats to Josef Stalin's power, but in actuality they were, in fact, enemies of the people.
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